Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.202059 0.234602 0.272666 0.320980 0.381400 0.455457 0.554678
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.166684 0.211386 0.270519 0.356892 0.484251 0.672995 0.990820
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.139068 0.187990 0.258922 0.374719 0.571112 0.917990 1.657385
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.117783 0.166892 0.243197 0.379230 0.638685 1.175824 2.628748
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.100935 0.148163 0.225531 0.373434 0.684504 1.426385 3.969052
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.091146 0.138314 0.219590 0.386048 0.773304 1.852856 6.820433
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080648 0.125284 0.205024 0.376820 0.808544 2.175170 10.437342
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073948 0.117633 0.198619 0.382619 0.885494 2.729396 18.774101
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067372 0.109178 0.188976 0.378222 0.933000 3.251044 32.806115
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.063070 0.104264 0.185428 0.387288 1.028575 4.172162 75.404567
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059833 0.100888 0.184391 0.402441 1.156983 5.599790 252.796682
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056312 0.096488 0.180362 0.408501 1.258712 7.204353 1229.056156
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053377 0.092988 0.177954 0.419290 1.395000 9.773368 70111.498211
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050623 0.089542 0.175150 0.428453 1.537529 13.412543 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047990 0.086047 0.171675 0.434711 1.676926 18.435694 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.045272 0.082075 0.166432 0.433768 1.780982 24.397390 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042445 0.077590 0.159275 0.424371 1.829875 30.261668 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040919 0.075795 0.158690 0.438320 2.052733 48.412639 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038499 0.071782 0.151784 0.427008 2.088342 60.698778 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036988 0.069685 0.149685 0.433703 2.278390 97.609732 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035172 0.066730 0.144886 0.428448 2.368389 139.296478 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034044 0.065265 0.143993 0.439133 2.627790 277.386075 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.033208 0.064405 0.144680 0.457055 3.005717 793.741283 NaN